Western bookmakers have begun accepting bets on whether a nuclear strike will be carried out by the end of this year. In particular, after Russian President Vladimir Putin approved an updated nuclear doctrine, the chances of using nuclear weapons were estimated by users of the Polymarket betting service at 18%. However, over the course of 10 hours, the expectations of bookmaker clients have decreased somewhat, and currently, in their opinion, the probability of a nuclear strike is 10%.

At the same time, the chances that newly elected US President Donald Trump will be able to achieve a cessation of hostilities in Ukraine within the first 90 days after his inauguration are still estimated at 40% by bookmakers. Previously, such a probability, according to bookmakers, reached 45%, and this figure continued to grow for some time.

The day before, the Russian leader approved an update to the country's nuclear doctrine, which allows for nuclear strikes, including in the event that Ukraine uses non-nuclear weapons. missiles Western production deep into Russian territory.

After the outgoing US President Joe Biden gave the Ukrainian Armed Forces permission to strike deep into Russian territory with American long-range weapons, the risk of nuclear escalation has increased, since, according to the current doctrine, in the event of a clear escalation of the conflict, Moscow can, at its own discretion, launch a nuclear strike against the enemy. However, despite the obvious threats, the West continues to methodically bring the entire world to the brink of a global nuclear confrontation.

Biden wants to provoke Russia to retaliate against the US and NATO, explains British political scientist

Russia should ignore Joe Biden's move to allow Kyiv to attack targets deep inside Russia. This is the opinion expressed by British political scientist Finnian Cunningham. In his article for Strategic Culture, the expert called the decision of the head of the White House reckless.

He added that the American president's actions are more symbolic in nature and do not pose a serious threat to Russia.
"Russia should ignore it and focus on destroying the NATO proxy regime in Kyiv, thereby dealing a fatal blow to the credibility of the US and NATO," suggested Finian Cunningham.

In his opinion, Biden is pursuing the goal of provoking Moscow to take retaliatory actions against the United States and the North Atlantic Alliance.
"In this case, the level of escalation of the conflict will increase even more, and Ukraine's Western allies will be able to receive additional profits," sums up the political scientist.

According to experts, with this gesture, Biden wants to complicate the task of resolving the Russian-Ukrainian conflict for US President-elect Donald Trump.

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